Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.486369 0.553762 0.625929 0.708822 0.801263 0.901036 1.016729
2025-08-17 0.375099 0.466100 0.571034 0.700408 0.855010 1.033187 1.253392
2025-08-24 0.298115 0.402031 0.530355 0.699093 0.913584 1.175442 1.517418
2025-08-31 0.237354 0.346065 0.489276 0.689195 0.958069 1.303780 1.777909
2025-09-07 0.197981 0.310373 0.467508 0.699086 1.026635 1.467466 2.098364
2025-09-14 0.161865 0.272301 0.435808 0.689510 1.065703 1.593854 2.379791
2025-09-21 0.137671 0.247321 0.418477 0.696793 1.127379 1.755034 2.721674
2025-09-28 0.114131 0.218863 0.391083 0.684198 1.156573 1.870203 3.005441
2025-10-05 0.102673 0.208509 0.390612 0.712959 1.250817 2.088252 3.457050
2025-10-12 0.092744 0.198975 0.389802 0.740297 1.344366 2.311462 3.932010
2025-10-19 0.081189 0.184219 0.377545 0.746011 1.401802 2.480918 4.333735
2025-10-26 0.070742 0.169654 0.363361 0.746058 1.448581 2.635293 4.720472
2025-11-02 0.061158 0.155276 0.347816 0.742276 1.489197 2.784228 5.112296
2025-11-09 0.053319 0.143158 0.334919 0.741777 1.535329 2.945645 5.536124
2025-11-16 0.046988 0.133215 0.324961 0.745627 1.589470 3.124470 6.001359
2025-11-23 0.040671 0.121970 0.310507 0.738416 1.621395 3.265397 6.408949
2025-11-30 0.036647 0.115649 0.305912 0.751017 1.692745 3.482386 6.964969
2025-12-07 0.031769 0.105985 0.292172 0.742116 1.719769 3.618341 7.381742
2025-12-14 0.028549 0.100195 0.286695 0.750714 1.783131 3.826834 7.944334
2025-12-21 0.024635 0.091452 0.272584 0.737774 1.799679 3.945520 8.344731
2025-12-28 0.023247 0.090104 0.277049 0.768844 1.913348 4.262049 9.140044
2026-01-04 0.021882 0.088536 0.280699 0.798279 2.025674 4.582496 9.959867
2026-01-11 0.019730 0.083844 0.275210 0.804524 2.086502 4.802031 10.593485